Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Phoenix WRST @ GB

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

14-8  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 2:00 PM ET
Resch Center
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

12-11  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
📊
PHOENIX
100%
RAIDERS --
PHOENIX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Wright State)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 PhoenixGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

90.3%

Phoenix Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

WRST By 1-7 points

18.6%

WRST By 8-14 points

26.8%

GB By 1-7 points

6.8%

GB By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
84
WRIGHT STATE
71
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
73
WRIGHT STATE
78
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Phoenix Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raiders (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Phoenix (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 WRST @ GB 83 - 75
Dec 7, 2025 GB @ WRST 58 - 86
Feb 16, 2025 WRST @ GB 68 - 79
Jan 2, 2025 GB @ WRST 51 - 74
Jan 18, 2024 GB @ WRST 88 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +41.7% more
Wright State: 7.2 vs Green Bay: 4.2
Rebounding (L5) +22.7% more
Wright State: 36.9 vs Green Bay: 28.5
Blocks (L5) +16.6% more
Wright State: 4.3 vs Green Bay: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +14.7% more
Wright State: 11.4 vs Green Bay: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 84.0 83
GB Score 71.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.4 / 34.5 44.0 / 35.0
Assists 16.0 / 12.2 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.3 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 49.2 46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 81.8 / 72.4 85.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 28.5 / 36.9 26.0 / 28.0
Steals 4.2 / 7.2 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 11.4 10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
GB
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
WRST
GB
WRST
ML
48% 16-17
37% 13-22
67% 22-11
63% 22-13
ATS
52% 17-16
46% 16-19
67% 22-11
63% 22-13
TTL
58% 19-14
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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