SAINT PETER'S
PEACOCKSSPU
12-7 | Road
78
RIDER
BRONCSRID
2-18 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
0%
BRONCS
100%
PEACOCKS
--
BRONCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Saint Peter's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SPU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)
SPU By 1-7 points
6.8%
SPU By 8-14 points
16.9%
RID By 1-7 points
1.4%
RID By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Peter's
83
SAINT PETER'S
Rider
62
RIDER
Simulated Score
Saint Peter's
58
SAINT PETER'S
Rider
62
RIDER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Peacocks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Peacocks (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Broncs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
SPU @ RID
78 - 81
Jan 17, 2026
RID @ SPU
58 - 69
Feb 16, 2025
RID @ SPU
65 - 66
Jan 31, 2025
SPU @ RID
64 - 67
Mar 14, 2024
SPU @ RID
50 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+37.8% more
Saint Peter's: 7.7
vs
Rider: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+26.2% more
Saint Peter's: 11.8
vs
Rider: 8.7
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
Saint Peter's: 38.7
vs
Rider: 35.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.0%
Saint Peter's: 71.6%
vs
Rider: 69.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SPU Score
83.0
78
RID Score
62.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 30.9
60.0 / 36.0
Assists
15.7 / 14.0
7.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.8
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 38.6
50.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 71.6
92.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 38.7
29.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.8 / 7.7
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 11.8
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
Advantage
16-11-1
(59.3%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RID
SPU
RID
SPU
ML
72%
21-8
64%
18-10
66%
19-10
71%
20-8
ATS
72%
21-8
71%
20-8
66%
19-10
71%
20-8
TTL
62%
18-11
61%
17-11
100%
29-0
100%
28-0
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