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WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

13-8  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 2:00 PM ET
Reynolds Center
View Odds Details →

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

18-3  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
0%
📊
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
SHOCKERS --
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Wichita State)
ShockersWICH (-3.5) 0 Golden HurricaneTLSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Shockers Cover

99.2%

Golden Hurricane Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WICH -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)

WICH By 1-7 points

4.0%

WICH By 8-14 points

12.2%

TLSA By 1-7 points

0.6%

TLSA By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
101
WICHITA STATE
77
TULSA
Simulated Score
68
WICHITA STATE
72
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Shockers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Hurricane Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Shockers (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Golden Hurricane (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o152.5 Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 WICH @ TLSA 79 - 83
Mar 14, 2026 TLSA @ WICH 68 - 81
Feb 14, 2026 TLSA @ WICH 77 - 81
Feb 1, 2026 WICH @ TLSA 83 - 93
Mar 9, 2025 TLSA @ WICH 73 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +53.3% more
Wichita State: 4.3 vs Tulsa: 2.0
Rebounding (L5) +15.1% more
Wichita State: 43.1 vs Tulsa: 36.6
Free Throw % (L5) +17.2%
Tulsa: 83.8% vs Wichita State: 66.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Tulsa: 49.2% vs Wichita State: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WICH Score 101.0 83
TLSA Score 77.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 35.4 40.0 / 39.0
Assists 13.6 / 13.2 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 4.3 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 43.3 60.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 83.8 / 66.6 70.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 43.1 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.1 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 11.3 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
TLSA
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
WICH
TLSA
WICH
ML
66% 25-13
61% 22-14
64% 23-13
68% 23-11
ATS
74% 28-10
64% 23-13
64% 23-13
68% 23-11
TTL
58% 22-16
69% 25-11
100% 36-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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