CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
9-13 | Road
70
FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
15-7 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
100%
PALADINS
0%
MOCS
--
PALADINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Furman)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FUR -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)
UTC By 1-7 points
16.9%
UTC By 8-14 points
6.8%
FUR By 1-7 points
26.8%
FUR By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chattanooga
68
CHATTANOOGA
Furman
74
FURMAN
Simulated Score
Chattanooga
73
CHATTANOOGA
Furman
78
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Paladins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Paladins (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Paladins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
UTC @ FUR
70 - 75
Jan 7, 2026
FUR @ UTC
78 - 67
Mar 9, 2025
FUR @ UTC
80 - 77
Feb 8, 2025
FUR @ UTC
72 - 85
Jan 18, 2025
UTC @ FUR
75 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+27.1% more
Furman: 16.2
vs
Chattanooga: 12.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.0% more
Furman: 11.0
vs
Chattanooga: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.8%
Furman: 51.1%
vs
Chattanooga: 41.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Furman: 77.9%
vs
Chattanooga: 72.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTC Score
68.0
70
FUR Score
74.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 33.3
45.0 / 28.0
Assists
16.2 / 12.7
18.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.9
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.1 / 41.3
50.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 72.5
76.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 33.6
30.0 / 33.0
Steals
3.2 / 3.9
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 9.4
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
FUR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
UTC
FUR
UTC
ML
71%
25-10
48%
15-16
62%
21-13
53%
16-14
ATS
63%
22-13
52%
16-15
62%
21-13
55%
17-14
TTL
57%
20-15
77%
24-7
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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