Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Dukes URI @ DUQ

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

13-8  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 12:00 PM ET
UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

DUQUESNE

DUKESDUQ

11-10  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
DUKES
100%
RAMS --
DUKES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Rhode Island)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 DukesDUQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

78.8%

Dukes Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around URI -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

URI By 1-7 points

25.3%

URI By 8-14 points

26.2%

DUQ By 1-7 points

13.7%

DUQ By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
59
RHODE ISLAND
51
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
65
RHODE ISLAND
69
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dukes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Dukes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 URI @ DUQ 61 - 67
Mar 4, 2026 DUQ @ URI 52 - 64
Feb 1, 2026 URI @ DUQ 61 - 76
Dec 31, 2024 URI @ DUQ 55 - 67
Feb 3, 2024 DUQ @ URI 85 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +23.9% more
Rhode Island: 4.2 vs Duquesne: 3.2
Steals (L5) +19.6% more
Rhode Island: 9.1 vs Duquesne: 7.3
Free Throw % (L5) +7.3%
Rhode Island: 73.3% vs Duquesne: 66.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Rhode Island: 44.6% vs Duquesne: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 59.0 61
DUQ Score 51.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 33.6 44.0 / 38.0
Assists 16.7 / 10.5 15.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.2 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 44.6 44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 66.0 / 73.3 91.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 30.3 38.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.3 / 9.1 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 11.9 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
DUQ Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
DUQ Advantage
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
URI
DUQ
URI
ML
53% 17-15
62% 20-12
58% 18-13
59% 19-13
ATS
69% 22-10
56% 18-14
58% 18-13
59% 19-13
TTL
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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