Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Warhawks CCU @ ULM

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

13-10  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 2:00 PM ET
Fant-Ewing Coliseum
View Odds Details →

UL MONROE

WARHAWKSULM

3-19  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
📊
WARHAWKS
0%
CHANTICLEERS --
WARHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
98.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
UL MONROE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (UL Monroe)
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 WarhawksULM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

42.1%

Warhawks Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ULM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ULM)

CCU By 1-7 points

23.0%

CCU By 8-14 points

12.2%

ULM By 1-7 points

26.8%

ULM By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
48
COASTAL CAROLINA
50
UL MONROE
Simulated Score
75
COASTAL CAROLINA
70
UL MONROE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warhawks (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 98.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 CCU @ ULM 83 - 79
Jan 4, 2025 ULM @ CCU 51 - 70
Mar 5, 2024 CCU @ ULM 75 - 71
Feb 7, 2024 CCU @ ULM 75 - 79
Feb 2, 2023 CCU @ ULM 70 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +93.6% more
UL Monroe: 6.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 3.5
Turnovers (L5) +11.9% more
UL Monroe: 13.2 vs Coastal Carolina: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
UL Monroe: 74.3% vs Coastal Carolina: 70.2%
Blocks (L5) +24.2% more
Coastal Carolina: 3.6 vs UL Monroe: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 48.0 83
ULM Score 50.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.4 / 35.0 33.0 / 48.0
Assists 9.6 / 10.3 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.6 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 35.8 / 41.6 45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 70.2 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 39.0 30.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.7 / 3.5 3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 11.8 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
ULM
4-28-0 (12.5%)
Margin: -11.5 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
ULM
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -11.5 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ULM
CCU
ULM
CCU
ML
50% 16-16
41% 13-19
70% 21-9
55% 17-14
ATS
78% 25-7
38% 12-20
70% 21-9
55% 17-14
TTL
59% 19-13
75% 24-8
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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