Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Islanders HCU @ AMCC

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

8-13  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 4:30 PM ET
American Bank Center
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

11-10  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
HUSKIES --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
HuskiesHCU (-3.5) 0 IslandersAMCC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

18.4%

Islanders Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)

HCU By 1-7 points

12.2%

HCU By 8-14 points

4.0%

AMCC By 1-7 points

24.3%

AMCC By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
65
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
74
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
65
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
80
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u135.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 HCU @ AMCC 71 - 73
Jan 5, 2026 AMCC @ HCU 81 - 65
Mar 9, 2025 HCU @ AMCC 48 - 62
Feb 17, 2025 HCU @ AMCC 62 - 68
Jan 20, 2025 AMCC @ HCU 72 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +45.1% more
Houston Christian: 3.8 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 2.1
Assists (L5) +38.5% more
Houston Christian: 15.6 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 9.6
Free Throw % (L5) +8.0%
Houston Christian: 71.7% vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 63.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Houston Christian: 46.0% vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 65.0 71
AMCC Score 74.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 38.2 36.0 / 48.0
Assists 9.6 / 15.6 13.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.1 / 3.8 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.7 / 46.0 54.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 63.8 / 71.7 67.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 32.2 29.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.3 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 14.5 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
HCU
AMCC
HCU
ML
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
67% 18-9
81% 25-6
ATS
67% 20-10
58% 18-13
67% 18-9
81% 26-6
TTL
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
100% 27-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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