MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
17-4 | Road
64
LAMAR
CARDINALSLAM
11-10 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
CARDINALS
100%
COWBOYS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MCN -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
MCN By 1-7 points
0.8%
MCN By 8-14 points
4.0%
LAM By 1-7 points
0.1%
LAM By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
McNeese
91
MCNEESE
Lamar
60
LAMAR
Simulated Score
McNeese
78
MCNEESE
Lamar
71
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
MCN @ LAM
64 - 63
Jan 2, 2026
LAM @ MCN
70 - 82
Mar 12, 2025
LAM @ MCN
54 - 63
Mar 1, 2025
MCN @ LAM
68 - 66
Jan 18, 2025
LAM @ MCN
64 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.1% more
McNeese: 11.8
vs
Lamar: 5.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
McNeese: 76.4%
vs
Lamar: 73.9%
Blocks (L5)
+41.0% more
Lamar: 5.8
vs
McNeese: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+39.1% more
Lamar: 17.1
vs
McNeese: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MCN Score
91.0
64
LAM Score
60.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.1 / 29.0
38.0 / 41.0
Assists
17.1 / 12.3
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.1
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 46.7
38.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 76.4
75.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 35.4
43.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.9 / 11.8
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 10.5
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAM
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
Advantage
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
MCN
LAM
MCN
ML
55%
16-13
67%
22-11
59%
17-12
88%
28-4
ATS
52%
15-14
76%
25-8
60%
18-12
88%
28-4
TTL
72%
21-8
42%
14-19
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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