Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demons @ Privateers NWST @ UNO

NORTHWESTERN STATE

DEMONSNWST

6-14  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 6:00 PM ET
Lakefront Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

8-13  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
DEMONS
0%
📊
PRIVATEERS
100%
DEMONS --
PRIVATEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Northwestern State)
DemonsNWST (-3.5) 0 PrivateersUNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demons Cover

99.2%

Privateers Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NWST -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NWST)

NWST By 1-7 points

4.0%

NWST By 8-14 points

12.2%

UNO By 1-7 points

0.6%

UNO By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
88
NORTHWESTERN STATE
64
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
68
NORTHWESTERN STATE
77
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Demons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Privateers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Demons (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Privateers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 NWST @ UNO 64 - 75
Jan 3, 2026 UNO @ NWST 68 - 74
Feb 22, 2025 NWST @ UNO 73 - 66
Jan 20, 2025 UNO @ NWST 61 - 73
Feb 12, 2024 UNO @ NWST 59 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +8.7% more
Northwestern State: 6.7 vs New Orleans: 6.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Northwestern State: 35.8% vs New Orleans: 30.8%
Blocks (L5) +102.9% more
New Orleans: 3.5 vs Northwestern State: 1.7
Turnovers (L5) +56.4% more
New Orleans: 17.0 vs Northwestern State: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NWST Score 88.0 64
UNO Score 64.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 35.8 41.0 / 28.0
Assists 12.9 / 11.4 13.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.5 / 1.7 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 46.4 44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 75.1 / 74.3 74.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 31.3 40.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.7 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 10.9 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NWST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.4
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NWST
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.4
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NWST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
NWST
UNO
NWST
ML
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
77% 23-7
ATS
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
77% 23-7
TTL
58% 18-13
39% 12-19
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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