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FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

9-13  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 3:00 PM ET
Swisher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

9-13  |  Home

49
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
DOLPHINS
100%
EAGLES --
DOLPHINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
EaglesFGCU (-3.5) 0 DolphinsJAX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

99.8%

Dolphins Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FGCU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)

FGCU By 1-7 points

1.4%

FGCU By 8-14 points

5.8%

JAX By 1-7 points

0.1%

JAX By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
80
FLORIDA GULF COAST
51
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
68
FLORIDA GULF COAST
72
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dolphins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-2) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Dolphins (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 JAX @ FGCU 84 - 86
Jan 31, 2026 FGCU @ JAX 68 - 49
Feb 18, 2025 JAX @ FGCU 56 - 72
Jan 29, 2025 FGCU @ JAX 83 - 79
Mar 1, 2024 FGCU @ JAX 59 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +23.2% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 12.3 vs Jacksonville: 9.4
Assists (L5) +22.4% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 13.6 vs Jacksonville: 10.6
Rebounding (L5) +14.1% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 34.4 vs Jacksonville: 29.5
Blocks (L5) +12.9% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 4.0 vs Jacksonville: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FGCU Score 80.0 68
JAX Score 51.0 49
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 36.8 6.0 / 47.0
Assists 10.6 / 13.6 4.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 44.5 37.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 81.1 / 74.5 53.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 29.5 / 34.4 38.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.1 / 5.5 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 12.3 16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FGCU Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
JAX Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
FGCU
JAX
FGCU
ML
74% 23-8
58% 19-14
60% 18-12
67% 22-11
ATS
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
61% 19-12
67% 22-11
TTL
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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