AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
WILDCATS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNH -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
UNH By 1-7 points
4.8%
UNH By 8-14 points
13.7%
BRY By 1-7 points
0.8%
BRY By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New Hampshire
79
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Bryant
56
BRYANT
Simulated Score
New Hampshire
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Bryant
72
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
BRY @ UNH
83 - 88
Jan 31, 2026
UNH @ BRY
84 - 92
Mar 4, 2025
UNH @ BRY
56 - 90
Jan 23, 2025
BRY @ UNH
95 - 76
Feb 8, 2024
UNH @ BRY
66 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.7% more
New Hampshire: 6.6
vs
Bryant: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+25.7% more
New Hampshire: 12.9
vs
Bryant: 9.6
Turnovers (L5)
+15.6% more
New Hampshire: 10.7
vs
Bryant: 9.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
New Hampshire: 33.1%
vs
Bryant: 24.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNH Score
79.0
84
BRY Score
56.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.3 / 33.1
40.0 / 30.0
Assists
9.6 / 12.9
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
36.4 / 41.7
46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 71.0
86.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 35.0
38.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.3 / 6.6
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 10.7
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
Advantage
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
UNH
BRY
UNH
ML
70%
21-9
70%
19-8
80%
24-6
74%
20-7
ATS
73%
22-8
67%
18-9
80%
24-6
74%
20-7
TTL
67%
20-10
59%
16-11
100%
30-0
100%
27-0