NORFOLK STATE
SPARTANSNORF
10-13 | Road
60
HOWARD
BISONHOW
12-9 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
BISON
0%
SPARTANS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Howard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)
NORF By 1-7 points
3.3%
NORF By 8-14 points
0.6%
HOW By 1-7 points
12.2%
HOW By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Norfolk State
72
NORFOLK STATE
Howard
89
HOWARD
Simulated Score
Norfolk State
70
NORFOLK STATE
Howard
75
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bison
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bison (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
HOW @ NORF
84 - 76
Jan 31, 2026
NORF @ HOW
60 - 88
Mar 6, 2025
NORF @ HOW
81 - 69
Jan 25, 2025
HOW @ NORF
75 - 92
Mar 15, 2024
HOW @ NORF
80 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+65.1% more
Howard: 4.2
vs
Norfolk State: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+17.3% more
Howard: 14.8
vs
Norfolk State: 12.6
Rebounding (L5)
+13.2% more
Howard: 42.4
vs
Norfolk State: 37.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Howard: 74.5%
vs
Norfolk State: 69.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NORF Score
72.0
60
HOW Score
89.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 32.2
47.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.0 / 13.4
19.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.5
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 48.7
54.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 69.5
86.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
42.4 / 37.5
42.0 / 18.0
Steals
9.2 / 9.1
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 12.6
19.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
HOW
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1%
Total +/-: +4.6
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
NORF
HOW
NORF
ML
59%
20-14
67%
20-10
71%
22-9
71%
20-8
ATS
59%
20-14
63%
19-11
71%
22-9
72%
21-8
TTL
62%
21-13
60%
18-12
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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