COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
13-9 | Road
76
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
9-13 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
RAIDERS
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLG -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
COLG By 1-7 points
20.1%
COLG By 8-14 points
27.2%
LEH By 1-7 points
8.0%
LEH By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colgate
79
COLGATE
Lehigh
67
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Colgate
68
COLGATE
Lehigh
72
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raiders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raiders (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
COLG @ LEH
69 - 76
Jan 31, 2026
COLG @ LEH
76 - 77
Jan 10, 2026
LEH @ COLG
78 - 77
Feb 3, 2025
COLG @ LEH
68 - 94
Jan 8, 2025
LEH @ COLG
62 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
Colgate: 15.6
vs
Lehigh: 13.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Colgate: 48.7%
vs
Lehigh: 44.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Colgate: 40.3%
vs
Lehigh: 38.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.1% more
Lehigh: 11.7
vs
Colgate: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLG Score
79.0
76
LEH Score
67.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 40.3
52.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.2 / 15.6
13.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.9
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 48.7
51.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
79.9 / 69.1
77.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 34.9
24.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.2
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 9.9
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
LEH
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
COLG
LEH
COLG
ML
56%
19-15
59%
19-13
68%
23-11
69%
22-10
ATS
56%
19-15
72%
23-9
68%
23-11
70%
23-10
TTL
76%
26-8
78%
25-7
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
Kentucky vs. Kansas Tip-Off Time Announced for 2026-27 Champions…
Big 12 2026 Preview: Texas Tech's Title Defense Faces These Chal…
Darrion Williams Picks Texas Tech Over Kentucky for Final Colleg…
Darrion Williams Commits to Texas Tech for Fifth Season, Boostin…