EAST TENNESSEE STATE
BUCCANEERSETSU
15-7 | Road
86
WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
15-7 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
TERRIERS
0%
BUCCANEERS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Wofford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WOF -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)
ETSU By 1-7 points
8.0%
ETSU By 8-14 points
2.2%
WOF By 1-7 points
20.1%
WOF By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
East Tennessee State
58
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Wofford
70
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
East Tennessee State
70
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Wofford
75
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terriers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
WOF @ ETSU
72 - 69
Feb 1, 2026
ETSU @ WOF
86 - 72
Mar 8, 2025
WOF @ ETSU
72 - 60
Feb 22, 2025
ETSU @ WOF
73 - 68
Jan 4, 2025
WOF @ ETSU
81 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+15.3% more
Wofford: 38.5
vs
East Tennessee State: 33.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Wofford: 37.5%
vs
East Tennessee State: 34.0%
Steals (L5)
+41.9% more
East Tennessee State: 8.1
vs
Wofford: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
East Tennessee State: 77.7%
vs
Wofford: 72.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ETSU Score
58.0
86
WOF Score
70.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 34.0
37.0 / 40.0
Assists
14.7 / 14.4
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 50.0
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 77.7
81.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 33.4
24.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.7 / 8.1
0.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 7.5
10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETSU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.5
WOF
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETSU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.5
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ETSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +2.5
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
ETSU
WOF
ETSU
ML
39%
12-19
42%
14-19
61%
19-12
70%
23-10
ATS
58%
18-13
58%
19-14
61%
19-12
70%
23-10
TTL
65%
20-11
45%
15-18
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
