LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
13-8 | Road
80
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
11-9 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
0%
SHARKS
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Central Connecticut)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCSU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)
LIU By 1-7 points
18.6%
LIU By 8-14 points
8.0%
CCSU By 1-7 points
27.2%
CCSU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
60
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Central Connecticut
65
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
Long Island University
69
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Central Connecticut
77
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Blue Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
LIU @ CCSU
80 - 59
Jan 2, 2026
CCSU @ LIU
78 - 84
Jan 30, 2025
CCSU @ LIU
63 - 50
Jan 12, 2025
LIU @ CCSU
54 - 52
Feb 29, 2024
LIU @ CCSU
64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.6%
Central Connecticut: 72.1%
vs
Long Island University: 66.6%
Blocks (L5)
+54.3% more
Long Island University: 6.8
vs
Central Connecticut: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+30.8% more
Long Island University: 6.8
vs
Central Connecticut: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+16.0% more
Long Island University: 12.4
vs
Central Connecticut: 10.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
60.0
80
CCSU Score
65.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 36.0
24.0 / 47.0
Assists
11.1 / 13.2
11.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.1 / 6.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 45.3
32.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 66.6
94.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 36.7
31.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.8
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 12.4
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
LIU
CCSU
LIU
ML
57%
17-13
60%
21-14
57%
17-13
69%
24-11
ATS
63%
19-11
63%
22-13
57%
17-13
69%
24-11
TTL
60%
18-12
60%
21-14
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
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