AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
GREYHOUNDS
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-61.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +61.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -61.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
L-MD By 1-7 points
0.0%
L-MD By 8-14 points
0.0%
NAVY By 1-7 points
0.0%
NAVY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
50
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Navy
111
NAVY
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
64
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Navy
69
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -61.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
NAVY @ L-MD
78 - 51
Jan 31, 2026
L-MD @ NAVY
71 - 87
Mar 1, 2025
L-MD @ NAVY
68 - 81
Jan 11, 2025
NAVY @ L-MD
74 - 75
Mar 5, 2024
L-MD @ NAVY
48 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.4% more
Navy: 8.3
vs
Loyola Maryland: 6.0
Assists (L5)
+35.1% more
Navy: 15.1
vs
Loyola Maryland: 11.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.3%
Navy: 50.4%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 42.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Navy: 38.8%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
50.0
71
NAVY Score
111.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 32.7
40.0 / 40.0
Assists
15.1 / 11.2
27.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.4 / 4.9
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 42.0
66.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 77.4
50.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 36.3
36.0 / 24.0
Steals
8.3 / 6.0
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.2
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
L-MD
NAVY
L-MD
ML
79%
26-7
53%
17-15
55%
18-15
66%
21-11
ATS
73%
24-9
56%
18-14
55%
18-15
66%
21-11
TTL
73%
24-9
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0