Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Leopards @ Eagles LAF @ AMER

LAFAYETTE

LEOPARDSLAF

6-16  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 2:00 PM ET
Bender Arena
View Odds Details →

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

13-9  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
LEOPARDS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (American University)
LeopardsLAF (-3.5) 0 EaglesAMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Leopards Cover

0.0%

Eagles Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMER -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMER)

LAF By 1-7 points

0.0%

LAF By 8-14 points

0.0%

AMER By 1-7 points

0.0%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
58
LAFAYETTE
108
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
68
LAFAYETTE
72
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 AMER @ LAF 75 - 61
Jan 31, 2026 LAF @ AMER 67 - 65
Mar 6, 2025 LAF @ AMER 69 - 71
Feb 10, 2025 LAF @ AMER 58 - 60
Jan 29, 2025 AMER @ LAF 75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +36.7% more
American University: 11.5 vs Lafayette: 8.4
Blocks (L5) +14.4% more
American University: 2.5 vs Lafayette: 2.2
Free Throw % (L5) +9.1%
American University: 78.7% vs Lafayette: 69.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
American University: 34.5% vs Lafayette: 31.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAF Score 58.0 67
AMER Score 108.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 31.3 22.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.4 / 14.0 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.2 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 42.4 41.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 69.6 73.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 33.4 35.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.1 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 8.4 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
AMER Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.0
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
LAF
AMER
LAF
ML
62% 20-12
53% 17-15
62% 20-12
59% 19-13
ATS
59% 19-13
56% 18-14
62% 20-12
59% 19-13
TTL
59% 19-13
50% 16-16
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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