Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Lancers HPU @ LONG

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

19-4  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 3:00 PM ET
Joan Perry Brock Center
View Odds Details →

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

12-11  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
LANCERS
100%
PANTHERS --
LANCERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (High Point)
PanthersHPU (-3.5) 0 LancersLONG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

100.0%

Lancers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HPU -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

HPU By 1-7 points

0.1%

HPU By 8-14 points

0.5%

LONG By 1-7 points

0.0%

LONG By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
HIGH POINT
53
LONGWOOD
Simulated Score
70
HIGH POINT
76
LONGWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lancers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Lancers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 HPU @ LONG 71 - 59
Jan 3, 2026 LONG @ HPU 67 - 80
Feb 13, 2025 LONG @ HPU 72 - 83
Jan 16, 2025 HPU @ LONG 80 - 82
Mar 9, 2024 LONG @ HPU 80 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +34.0% more
High Point: 16.5 vs Longwood: 10.9
Blocks (L5) +23.2% more
High Point: 4.1 vs Longwood: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
High Point: 74.6% vs Longwood: 66.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
High Point: 32.0% vs Longwood: 30.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HPU Score 93.0 71
LONG Score 53.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 32.0 33.0 / 29.0
Assists 10.9 / 16.5 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.1 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 46.4 42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 74.6 78.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 34.2 36.0 / 26.0
Steals 11.7 / 10.0 2.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 6.5 18.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
LONG
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
LONG
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LONG
HPU
LONG
HPU
ML
65% 20-11
80% 28-7
68% 21-10
80% 28-7
ATS
68% 21-10
71% 25-10
68% 21-10
80% 28-7
TTL
65% 20-11
66% 23-12
100% 31-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tigers Lock Up Broadcast Duo Dan Dickerson and Jason Benetti wit…
yahoo 2 weeks ago
NC State's Stunning Collapse at Vanderbilt Joins List of Infamou…
yardbarker 2 weeks, 5 days ago
Cleveland Cavaliers Elevate Brandon Weems to General Manager
yahoo 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Billie Jean King to Honor Lisa Bluder with Joe Lapchick Characte…
greenwichtime 3 weeks ago
Iowa Men's Basketball Unveils Big Ten Slate: Road Opener at Purd…
kcci 3 weeks, 1 day ago