Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Ospreys LIP @ UNF

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

14-8  |  Road

100
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 2:00 PM ET
UNF Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTH FLORIDA

OSPREYSUNF

5-17  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
OSPREYS
100%
BISONS --
OSPREYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Lipscomb)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 OspreysUNF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

100.0%

Ospreys Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIP -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

LIP By 1-7 points

0.0%

LIP By 8-14 points

0.1%

UNF By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNF By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
105
LIPSCOMB
60
NORTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
75
LIPSCOMB
72
NORTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Bisons (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 LIP @ UNF 100 - 94
Jan 3, 2026 UNF @ LIP 74 - 82
Jan 4, 2025 LIP @ UNF 96 - 64
Jan 31, 2024 LIP @ UNF 76 - 85
Feb 16, 2023 UNF @ LIP 114 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +51.8% more
Lipscomb: 3.3 vs North Florida: 1.6
Steals (L5) +21.4% more
Lipscomb: 4.6 vs North Florida: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +13.7% more
North Florida: 10.9 vs Lipscomb: 9.5
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
North Florida: 49.7% vs Lipscomb: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 105.0 100
UNF Score 60.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 36.9 44.0 / 43.0
Assists 17.9 / 16.6 19.0 / 21.0
Blocks 1.6 / 3.3 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.7 / 46.2 48.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 81.8 / 78.7 94.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 32.3 36.0 / 27.0
Steals 3.6 / 4.6 2.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 9.5 13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
UNF
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
UNF Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNF
LIP
UNF
LIP
ML
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
66% 19-10
ATS
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
66% 19-10
TTL
66% 21-11
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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