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BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

9-11  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 3:30 PM ET
Dunn-Oliver Acadome
View Odds Details →

ALABAMA STATE

HORNETSALST

6-14  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
HORNETS
0%
WILDCATS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ALABAMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Alabama State)
WildcatsBCU (-3.5) 0 HornetsALST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Hornets Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ALST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALST)

BCU By 1-7 points

24.3%

BCU By 8-14 points

13.7%

ALST By 1-7 points

26.2%

ALST By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
62
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
63
ALABAMA STATE
Simulated Score
83
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
78
ALABAMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hornets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hornets (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 ALST @ BCU 71 - 82
Jan 31, 2026 BCU @ ALST 69 - 54
Feb 24, 2025 BCU @ ALST 70 - 68
Feb 1, 2025 ALST @ BCU 64 - 67
Feb 26, 2024 ALST @ BCU 84 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Alabama State: 8.4 vs Bethune-Cookman: 7.1
Blocks (L5) +40.6% more
Bethune-Cookman: 6.3 vs Alabama State: 3.8
Assists (L5) +31.4% more
Bethune-Cookman: 16.1 vs Alabama State: 11.0
Rebounding (L5) +19.5% more
Bethune-Cookman: 40.3 vs Alabama State: 32.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 62.0 69
ALST Score 63.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 30.7 22.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.0 / 16.1 8.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.8 / 6.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 50.1 38.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 65.9 / 73.0 73.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 40.3 27.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.1 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 13.4 16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
ALST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
ALST
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
ALST
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALST
BCU
ALST
BCU
ML
65% 20-11
68% 21-10
76% 19-6
79% 22-6
ATS
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
76% 19-6
79% 22-6
TTL
52% 16-15
48% 15-16
100% 25-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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