HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
8-14 | Road
68
ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
9-13 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARMY -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
HC By 1-7 points
13.7%
HC By 8-14 points
4.8%
ARMY By 1-7 points
25.3%
ARMY By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
64
HOLY CROSS
Army
72
ARMY
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Army
73
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
HC @ ARMY
68 - 69
Jan 14, 2026
ARMY @ HC
75 - 82
Feb 5, 2025
HC @ ARMY
65 - 68
Jan 22, 2025
ARMY @ HC
76 - 71
Mar 5, 2024
HC @ ARMY
84 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+74.5% more
Army: 16.1
vs
Holy Cross: 9.2
Steals (L5)
+54.7% more
Army: 6.6
vs
Holy Cross: 4.3
Rebounding (L5)
+13.0% more
Army: 33.0
vs
Holy Cross: 29.2
Turnovers (L5)
+11.1% more
Army: 11.4
vs
Holy Cross: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
64.0
68
ARMY Score
72.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 35.3
38.0 / 44.0
Assists
16.1 / 9.2
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.9
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 47.6
39.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 70.5
38.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 29.2
46.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.6 / 4.3
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 10.3
15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
ARMY
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
HC
ARMY
HC
ML
44%
14-18
52%
16-15
50%
16-16
61%
19-12
ATS
44%
14-18
55%
17-14
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
TTL
81%
26-6
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
