NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
28-24-2 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
25-21-7 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 3.04 | 0.909 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.04
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.909
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
SENATORS
0%
DEVILS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
NJ By 1 goal
12.1%
NJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
OTT @ NJ
3 - 4
Jan 31, 2026
NJ @ OTT
1 - 4
Dec 9, 2025
NJ @ OTT
4 - 3
Sep 28, 2025
NJ @ OTT
0 - 2
Mar 22, 2025
OTT @ NJ
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+50.2% more
Ottawa: 28.6
vs
New Jersey: 19.0
Takeaways (L5)
+27.9% more
Ottawa: 5.9
vs
New Jersey: 4.6
Power Play % (L5)
+21.6%
New Jersey: 27.3%
vs
Ottawa: 5.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
3.0
1
OTT Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 15.1
19.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
50.5 / 50.0
43.3 / 56.7
Hits
28.6 / 19.0
24.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
5.7 / 27.3
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 29.8
34.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 4.6
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NJ
OTT
NJ
ML
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-2-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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