CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
33-15-5 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
26-22-7 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Rasmus Sandin
#38 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Rasmus Sandin | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
CAPITALS
0%
HURRICANES
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
WSH @ CAR
5 - 2
Jan 31, 2026
CAR @ WSH
3 - 4
Dec 11, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
WSH @ CAR
4 - 1
May 15, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+103.6% more
Washington: 18.5
vs
Carolina: 9.1
Takeaways (L5)
+30.1% more
Carolina: 5.7
vs
Washington: 4.0
Power Play % (L5)
+14.3%
Carolina: 28.6%
vs
Washington: 14.3%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.2% more
Carolina: 29.3
vs
Washington: 25.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
3
WSH Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 9.1
10.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
52.6 / 51.1
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
19.0 / 21.1
24.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
1429.0 / 2860.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.4 / 29.3
42.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.7
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CAR
WSH
CAR
ML
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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