Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pilots @ Cougars PORT @ WSU

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

10-13  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 6:00 PM ET
Beasley Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

10-13  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
PILOTS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
PILOTS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Washington State)
PilotsPORT (-3.5) 0 CougarsWSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pilots Cover

3.6%

Cougars Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

PORT By 1-7 points

2.7%

PORT By 8-14 points

0.5%

WSU By 1-7 points

10.7%

WSU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
62
PORTLAND
80
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
62
PORTLAND
75
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 PORT @ WSU 74 - 68
Jan 31, 2026 PORT @ WSU 74 - 104
Dec 28, 2025 WSU @ PORT 67 - 62
Jan 18, 2025 PORT @ WSU 70 - 92
Dec 28, 2024 WSU @ PORT 89 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +20.8% more
Washington State: 14.4 vs Portland: 11.9
Assists (L5) +20.1% more
Washington State: 16.1 vs Portland: 13.4
Field Goal % (L5) +13.3%
Washington State: 52.3% vs Portland: 39.0%
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
Washington State: 34.2 vs Portland: 30.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PORT Score 62.0 74
WSU Score 80.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.0 / 31.8 52.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.1 / 13.4 26.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.1 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 52.3 / 39.0 55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 76.0 84.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 30.5 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.6 / 5.8 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 11.9 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PORT Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
WSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PORT
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
WSU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
PORT
WSU
PORT
ML
78% 25-7
48% 16-17
69% 20-9
82% 27-6
ATS
78% 25-7
67% 22-11
69% 20-9
82% 28-6
TTL
62% 20-12
55% 18-15
100% 29-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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