UTAH TECH
TRAILBLAZERSUTU
12-11 | Road
65
TARLETON STATE
TEXANSTAR
11-10 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
TEXANS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS
--
TEXANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Utah Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)
UTU By 1-7 points
16.9%
UTU By 8-14 points
26.2%
TAR By 1-7 points
5.8%
TAR By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah Tech
92
UTAH TECH
Tarleton State
78
TARLETON STATE
Simulated Score
Utah Tech
69
UTAH TECH
Tarleton State
73
TARLETON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trailblazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Texans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trailblazers (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Texans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
UTU @ TAR
80 - 72
Jan 31, 2026
UTU @ TAR
65 - 59
Jan 17, 2026
TAR @ UTU
71 - 75
Jan 30, 2025
UTU @ TAR
54 - 61
Jan 11, 2025
TAR @ UTU
54 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.7% more
Utah Tech: 16.4
vs
Tarleton State: 11.0
Blocks (L5)
+26.1% more
Utah Tech: 3.1
vs
Tarleton State: 2.3
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Utah Tech: 34.4
vs
Tarleton State: 30.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
Utah Tech: 39.5%
vs
Tarleton State: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTU Score
92.0
65
TAR Score
78.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.1 / 39.5
13.0 / 50.0
Assists
11.0 / 16.4
6.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.8 / 47.5
34.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 75.1
82.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 34.4
39.0 / 28.0
Steals
11.3 / 7.4
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 12.6
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
TAR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
TAR
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
TAR
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TAR
UTU
TAR
UTU
ML
59%
19-13
68%
23-11
66%
21-11
62%
21-13
ATS
69%
22-10
65%
22-12
66%
21-11
62%
21-13
TTL
50%
16-16
65%
22-12
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
College Football Week 5: Northwestern's Rise, Big Ten Coaches Un…