UAB
BLAZERSUAB
13-8 | Road
72
NORTH TEXAS
MEAN GREENUNT
12-9 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
100%
MEAN GREEN
0%
BLAZERS
--
MEAN GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (North Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNT -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)
UAB By 1-7 points
6.8%
UAB By 8-14 points
1.7%
UNT By 1-7 points
18.6%
UNT By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
70
UAB
North Texas
83
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
UAB
65
UAB
North Texas
68
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mean Green
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Mean Green (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
UNT @ UAB
62 - 58
Jan 31, 2026
UAB @ UNT
72 - 68
Mar 15, 2025
UAB @ UNT
66 - 56
Feb 3, 2025
UNT @ UAB
61 - 64
Dec 31, 2024
UAB @ UNT
75 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.3% more
North Texas: 11.4
vs
UAB: 8.0
Blocks (L5)
+22.8% more
UAB: 4.2
vs
North Texas: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+19.6% more
UAB: 13.3
vs
North Texas: 10.7
Rebounding (L5)
+13.7% more
UAB: 40.3
vs
North Texas: 34.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
70.0
72
UNT Score
83.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 29.0
18.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.7 / 13.3
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.2
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 42.4
41.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
66.7 / 74.5
74.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 40.3
31.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.3 / 8.8
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 8.0
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
UNT
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
UNT
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
UAB
UNT
UAB
ML
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
41%
13-19
ATS
52%
17-16
56%
18-14
59%
19-13
41%
13-19
TTL
67%
22-11
69%
22-10
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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