AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
SALUKIS
100%
FLAMES
--
SALUKIS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UIC -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
UIC By 1-7 points
0.1%
UIC By 8-14 points
1.1%
SIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
88
UIC
Southern Illinois
51
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
UIC
69
UIC
Southern Illinois
78
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Salukis
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Salukis (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
UIC @ SIU
68 - 66
Jan 7, 2026
SIU @ UIC
57 - 70
Feb 8, 2025
UIC @ SIU
67 - 79
Jan 25, 2025
SIU @ UIC
89 - 85
Mar 7, 2024
UIC @ SIU
84 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.9% more
UIC: 9.5
vs
Southern Illinois: 7.8
Blocks (L5)
+16.7% more
UIC: 3.4
vs
Southern Illinois: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+16.6% more
UIC: 16.5
vs
Southern Illinois: 13.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.0%
UIC: 72.0%
vs
Southern Illinois: 60.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
88.0
68
SIU Score
51.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 37.6
46.0 / 15.0
Assists
13.8 / 16.5
12.0 / 4.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.4
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 46.9
44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
60.0 / 72.0
73.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 33.4
24.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.8 / 9.5
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.2
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
SIU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIU
UIC
SIU
UIC
ML
53%
17-15
57%
20-15
47%
15-17
44%
15-19
ATS
56%
18-14
54%
19-16
47%
15-17
44%
15-19
TTL
53%
17-15
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
34-0