Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Minutemen EMU @ MASS

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

9-12  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 6:00 PM ET
Mullins Center
View Odds Details →

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

13-9  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
MINUTEMEN
0%
EAGLES --
MINUTEMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Massachusetts)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 MinutemenMASS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

18.4%

Minutemen Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MASS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

EMU By 1-7 points

12.2%

EMU By 8-14 points

4.0%

MASS By 1-7 points

24.3%

MASS By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
90
EASTERN MICHIGAN
99
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
78
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Minutemen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Minutemen (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Minutemen (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 189.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 EMU @ MASS 67 - 70
Dec 30, 2025 MASS @ EMU 74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.6% more
Massachusetts: 14.9 vs Eastern Michigan: 12.1
Steals (L5) +15.4% more
Massachusetts: 6.9 vs Eastern Michigan: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.2%
Massachusetts: 38.3% vs Eastern Michigan: 29.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Massachusetts: 47.4% vs Eastern Michigan: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 90.0 67
MASS Score 99.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 29.1 8.0 / 23.0
Assists 14.9 / 12.1 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 4.9 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 44.4 44.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 76.0 71.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 32.4 30.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.0 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 12.9 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
MASS Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
EMU
MASS
EMU
ML
44% 14-18
65% 20-11
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
ATS
47% 15-17
65% 20-11
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
TTL
56% 18-14
71% 22-9
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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