HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
13-9 | Road
73
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
11-11 | Home
57
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
HAWKS
100%
PRIDE
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
26.8%
HOF By 8-14 points
24.3%
MONM By 1-7 points
16.9%
MONM By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
86
HOFSTRA
Monmouth
80
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Hofstra
75
HOFSTRA
Monmouth
63
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Pride (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.0
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u141.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
MONM @ HOF
69 - 75
Jan 31, 2026
HOF @ MONM
73 - 57
Jan 10, 2026
MONM @ HOF
64 - 67
Mar 8, 2025
HOF @ MONM
60 - 65
Feb 20, 2025
MONM @ HOF
68 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.3% more
Hofstra: 41.7
vs
Monmouth: 34.9
Steals (L5)
+49.1% more
Monmouth: 6.9
vs
Hofstra: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+35.7% more
Monmouth: 12.2
vs
Hofstra: 9.0
Blocks (L5)
+17.9% more
Monmouth: 4.3
vs
Hofstra: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
86.0
73
MONM Score
80.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 37.1
17.0 / 42.0
Assists
15.2 / 13.1
7.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 38.7
38.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
69.0 / 67.1
73.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 41.7
22.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.9 / 4.6
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 9.0
6.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
MONM
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
HOF
MONM
HOF
ML
62%
21-13
77%
27-8
64%
21-12
71%
25-10
ATS
62%
21-13
83%
29-6
64%
21-12
71%
25-10
TTL
59%
20-14
51%
18-17
100%
33-0
100%
35-0
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