Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Revolutionaries FOR @ GW

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

11-10  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 2:00 PM ET
Charles E. Smith Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

13-8  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
RAMS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RamsFOR (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

30.9%

Revolutionaries Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

FOR By 1-7 points

27.2%

FOR By 8-14 points

23.0%

GW By 1-7 points

18.6%

GW By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
56
FORDHAM
51
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
70
FORDHAM
74
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Revolutionaries Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Revolutionaries (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 GW @ FOR 66 - 62
Jan 31, 2026 FOR @ GW 79 - 65
Mar 13, 2025 FOR @ GW 81 - 88
Mar 5, 2025 GW @ FOR 81 - 58
Jan 3, 2024 FOR @ GW 119 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Fordham: 77.3% vs George Washington: 71.8%
Blocks (L5) +82.0% more
George Washington: 4.5 vs Fordham: 2.5
Steals (L5) +20.6% more
George Washington: 8.2 vs Fordham: 6.8
Assists (L5) +11.8% more
George Washington: 13.7 vs Fordham: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FOR Score 56.0 79
GW Score 51.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 30.7 33.0 / 26.0
Assists 13.7 / 12.3 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.5 / 2.5 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 42.7 39.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 77.3 58.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 36.9 28.0 / 46.0
Steals 8.2 / 6.8 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.9 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
7%MONEY93%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
FOR
GW
FOR
ML
63% 22-13
59% 19-13
60% 21-14
59% 19-13
ATS
69% 24-11
59% 19-13
60% 21-14
59% 19-13
TTL
60% 21-14
59% 19-13
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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