DAVIDSON
WILDCATSDAV
12-8 | Road
79
RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
13-9 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
SPIDERS
100%
WILDCATS
--
SPIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Davidson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DAV -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)
DAV By 1-7 points
0.5%
DAV By 8-14 points
2.7%
RICH By 1-7 points
0.0%
RICH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Davidson
96
DAVIDSON
Richmond
63
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
Davidson
68
DAVIDSON
Richmond
72
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Spiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
RICH @ DAV
63 - 65
Jan 31, 2026
DAV @ RICH
79 - 54
Mar 12, 2025
RICH @ DAV
65 - 69
Feb 8, 2025
RICH @ DAV
60 - 71
Jan 25, 2025
DAV @ RICH
72 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+63.6% more
Davidson: 4.6
vs
Richmond: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+9.9% more
Davidson: 7.6
vs
Richmond: 6.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
Richmond: 77.1%
vs
Davidson: 62.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Richmond: 35.7%
vs
Davidson: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAV Score
96.0
79
RICH Score
63.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 32.4
26.0 / 52.0
Assists
11.5 / 11.0
9.0 / 18.0
Blocks
1.7 / 4.6
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 42.0
36.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
77.1 / 62.6
69.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 30.2
23.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.6
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.5
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
RICH
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
DAV
RICH
DAV
ML
53%
17-15
64%
21-12
56%
18-14
58%
19-14
ATS
44%
14-18
48%
16-17
56%
18-14
58%
19-14
TTL
56%
18-14
52%
17-16
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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