Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bears EWU @ UNCO

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

5-16  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 4:00 PM ET
Bank of Colorado Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

12-10  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
BEARS
100%
EAGLES --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Eastern Washington)
EaglesEWU (-3.5) 0 BearsUNCO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

75.8%

Bears Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EWU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

EWU By 1-7 points

26.2%

EWU By 8-14 points

25.3%

UNCO By 1-7 points

15.3%

UNCO By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
85
EASTERN WASHINGTON
78
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
72
EASTERN WASHINGTON
75
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 UNCO @ EWU 72 - 82
Jan 31, 2026 EWU @ UNCO 71 - 74
Feb 20, 2025 EWU @ UNCO 76 - 95
Jan 25, 2025 UNCO @ EWU 67 - 62
Feb 24, 2024 EWU @ UNCO 85 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +46.5% more
Eastern Washington: 5.9 vs Northern Colorado: 3.2
Blocks (L5) +15.8% more
Eastern Washington: 3.7 vs Northern Colorado: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +10.2%
Eastern Washington: 80.4% vs Northern Colorado: 70.2%
Assists (L5) +41.5% more
Northern Colorado: 16.1 vs Eastern Washington: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 85.0 71
UNCO Score 78.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.8 / 39.0 26.0 / 44.0
Assists 16.1 / 11.4 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.7 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 45.0 40.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 80.4 82.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 31.9 35.0 / 35.0
Steals 3.2 / 5.9 6.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 11.8 4.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
98%MONEY2%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
UNCO Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
UNCO
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
EWU
UNCO
EWU
ML
50% 16-16
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
69% 22-10
ATS
53% 17-15
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
69% 22-10
TTL
50% 16-16
48% 16-17
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
Riley Minix's Unconventional Path from NAIA to NBA Two-Way Contr…
headtopics 2 weeks ago
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
crossingbroad 2 weeks, 4 days ago
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…
si 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Baylor Position-by-Position Preview: Can the Bears Avenge Auburn…
si 1 month ago