Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Wildcats WASH @ NU

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

11-10  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 8:00 PM ET
Welsh-Ryan Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

10-11  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
HUSKIES --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Northwestern)
HuskiesWASH (-3.5) 0 WildcatsNU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

1.1%

Wildcats Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)

WASH By 1-7 points

0.8%

WASH By 8-14 points

0.1%

NU By 1-7 points

4.8%

NU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
57
WASHINGTON
80
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
70
WASHINGTON
75
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 WASH @ NU 76 - 62
Feb 8, 2025 NU @ WASH 71 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +51.1% more
Northwestern: 20.8 vs Washington: 13.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Northwestern: 37.6% vs Washington: 30.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Northwestern: 47.6% vs Washington: 44.2%
Blocks (L5) +25.9% more
Washington: 4.1 vs Northwestern: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WASH Score 57.0 76
NU Score 80.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.6 / 30.9 26.0 / 45.0
Assists 20.8 / 13.8 11.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.1 6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 44.2 39.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 79.7 72.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 35.7 31.0 / 45.0
Steals 4.0 / 5.0 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 8.3 / 10.1 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
NU
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
NU
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
WASH
NU
WASH
ML
47% 16-18
45% 15-18
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
ATS
50% 17-17
48% 16-17
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
TTL
53% 18-16
70% 23-10
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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