NOTRE DAME
FIGHTING IRISHND
11-10 | Road
72
SYRACUSE
ORANGESYR
12-9 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING IRISH
100%
ORANGE
0%
FIGHTING IRISH
--
ORANGE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Syracuse)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SYR -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)
ND By 1-7 points
2.2%
ND By 8-14 points
0.4%
SYR By 1-7 points
9.3%
SYR By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Notre Dame
86
NOTRE DAME
Syracuse
105
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Notre Dame
65
NOTRE DAME
Syracuse
78
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orange
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orange
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orange (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Orange (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
ND @ SYR
72 - 86
Jan 18, 2025
ND @ SYR
69 - 77
Dec 7, 2024
SYR @ ND
64 - 69
Feb 24, 2024
ND @ SYR
85 - 88
Jan 14, 2023
ND @ SYR
73 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+76.3% more
Syracuse: 7.7
vs
Notre Dame: 4.4
Blocks (L5)
+31.0% more
Syracuse: 4.0
vs
Notre Dame: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+15.2% more
Syracuse: 11.4
vs
Notre Dame: 9.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Syracuse: 44.9%
vs
Notre Dame: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ND Score
86.0
72
SYR Score
105.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 32.9
40.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.4 / 12.0
21.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.1
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 43.3
57.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 70.2
57.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 36.4
34.0 / 28.0
Steals
7.7 / 4.4
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 9.9
6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ND
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
SYR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ND
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
ND
SYR
ND
ML
78%
25-7
65%
20-11
69%
22-10
77%
24-7
ATS
69%
22-10
55%
17-14
69%
22-10
77%
24-7
TTL
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Duke Demolishes Belmont by 40 in Preseason Blowout
Drake Men's Basketball Enters Year 2 Under Eric Henderson with R…
Greg Gard: Wisconsin Basketball Has Evolved While Keeping Its Id…
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…