CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
14-8 | Road
89
NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
6-14 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
COUGARS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Northeastern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NE -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)
COFC By 1-7 points
1.7%
COFC By 8-14 points
0.3%
NE By 1-7 points
8.0%
NE By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston
64
CHARLESTON
Northeastern
84
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Northeastern
70
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Cougars (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
COFC @ NE
89 - 84
Feb 20, 2025
COFC @ NE
73 - 62
Jan 18, 2025
NE @ COFC
85 - 87
Feb 15, 2024
COFC @ NE
77 - 73
Feb 13, 2023
NE @ COFC
63 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+45.3% more
Northeastern: 7.5
vs
Charleston: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Northeastern: 32.6%
vs
Charleston: 28.5%
Blocks (L5)
+53.0% more
Charleston: 5.5
vs
Northeastern: 2.6
Rebounding (L5)
+25.5% more
Charleston: 42.2
vs
Northeastern: 31.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COFC Score
64.0
89
NE Score
84.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 28.5
37.0 / 20.0
Assists
14.8 / 13.8
21.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.6 / 5.5
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 45.8
49.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
64.2 / 67.6
40.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 42.2
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.2
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 12.2
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
COFC
NE
COFC
ML
70%
21-9
66%
19-10
60%
18-12
62%
18-11
ATS
63%
19-11
59%
17-12
60%
18-12
62%
18-11
TTL
53%
16-14
68%
19-9-1
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
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