LSU
TIGERSLSU
13-8 | Road
92
SOUTH CAROLINA
GAMECOCKSSC
11-10 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
GAMECOCKS
100%
TIGERS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (LSU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LSU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)
LSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
LSU By 8-14 points
26.8%
SC By 1-7 points
12.2%
SC By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LSU
79
LSU
South Carolina
70
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
LSU
68
LSU
South Carolina
72
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
LSU @ SC
92 - 87
Jan 6, 2026
SC @ LSU
78 - 68
Feb 18, 2025
SC @ LSU
67 - 81
Feb 17, 2024
LSU @ SC
64 - 63
Feb 18, 2023
SC @ LSU
82 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.6% more
LSU: 7.9
vs
South Carolina: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+11.7% more
LSU: 3.2
vs
South Carolina: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+8.6% more
LSU: 11.1
vs
South Carolina: 10.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
LSU: 44.3%
vs
South Carolina: 37.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LSU Score
79.0
92
SC Score
70.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 26.4
38.0 / 41.0
Assists
10.1 / 11.1
13.0 / 23.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.2
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
37.5 / 44.3
41.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
85.1 / 69.2
71.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 30.8
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.8 / 7.9
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 9.1
6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU
--
SC
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
--
SC
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
--
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
LSU
SC
LSU
ML
72%
23-9
62%
20-12
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
ATS
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
TTL
50%
16-16
72%
23-9
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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