Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Explorers JOES @ LAS

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

13-8  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 2:30 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

7-14  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
📊
EXPLORERS
0%
HAWKS --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (La Salle)
HawksJOES (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

34.5%

Explorers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAS -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

JOES By 1-7 points

20.1%

JOES By 8-14 points

9.3%

LAS By 1-7 points

27.4%

LAS By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
57
SAINT JOSEPH'S
61
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
70
SAINT JOSEPH'S
72
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Explorers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Explorers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 LAS @ JOES 76 - 88
Jan 31, 2026 JOES @ LAS 67 - 58
Mar 13, 2025 LAS @ JOES 70 - 75
Mar 8, 2025 JOES @ LAS 74 - 81
Feb 12, 2025 LAS @ JOES 63 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.0%
La Salle: 73.8% vs Saint Joseph's: 65.8%
Blocks (L5) +72.2% more
Saint Joseph's: 6.3 vs La Salle: 1.7
Assists (L5) +28.2% more
Saint Joseph's: 17.7 vs La Salle: 12.7
Rebounding (L5) +11.7% more
Saint Joseph's: 37.1 vs La Salle: 32.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JOES Score 57.0 67
LAS Score 61.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 36.4 16.0 / 44.0
Assists 12.7 / 17.7 16.0 / 18.0
Blocks 1.7 / 6.3 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 47.5 39.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 65.8 38.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 37.1 37.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.5 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 11.4 8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
9%MONEY91%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
JOES
LAS
JOES
ML
69% 22-10
51% 18-17
69% 22-10
61% 20-13
ATS
78% 25-7
60% 21-14
69% 22-10
61% 20-13
TTL
66% 21-11
54% 19-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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