NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
7-13 | Road
61
MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
21-0 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
HUSKIES
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Miami (OH))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around M-OH -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
NIU By 1-7 points
6.8%
NIU By 8-14 points
1.7%
M-OH By 1-7 points
18.6%
M-OH By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Illinois
64
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Miami (OH)
77
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Northern Illinois
68
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Miami (OH)
72
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
RedHawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
RedHawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
NIU @ M-OH
61 - 85
Feb 25, 2025
NIU @ M-OH
58 - 87
Jan 14, 2025
M-OH @ NIU
84 - 69
Feb 6, 2024
NIU @ M-OH
62 - 59
Feb 18, 2023
M-OH @ NIU
66 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+214.4% more
Miami (OH): 3.5
vs
Northern Illinois: 1.1
Assists (L5)
+35.7% more
Miami (OH): 17.5
vs
Northern Illinois: 12.9
Steals (L5)
+28.5% more
Miami (OH): 7.2
vs
Northern Illinois: 5.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Miami (OH): 52.5%
vs
Northern Illinois: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIU Score
64.0
61
M-OH Score
77.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 34.5
25.0 / 25.0
Assists
17.5 / 12.9
13.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.1
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
52.5 / 42.5
48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 67.5
80.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 36.5
39.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.6
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 12.7
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
NIU
M-OH
NIU
ML
45%
15-18
67%
20-10
41%
13-19
66%
19-10
ATS
61%
20-13
63%
19-11
41%
13-19
66%
19-10
TTL
61%
20-13
67%
20-10
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
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