DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
12-9 | Road
66
XAVIER
MUSKETEERSXAV
11-10 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
0%
MUSKETEERS
100%
BLUE DEMONS
--
MUSKETEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
XAVIER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around XAV +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (XAV)
DEP By 1-7 points
26.8%
DEP By 8-14 points
18.6%
XAV By 1-7 points
23.0%
XAV By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
71
DEPAUL
Xavier
69
XAVIER
Simulated Score
DePaul
65
DEPAUL
Xavier
78
XAVIER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Demons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Musketeers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Musketeers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Musketeers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
DEP @ XAV
66 - 68
Jan 3, 2026
XAV @ DEP
77 - 86
Feb 15, 2025
DEP @ XAV
68 - 85
Jan 11, 2025
XAV @ DEP
77 - 63
Feb 28, 2024
DEP @ XAV
58 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.7% more
Xavier: 5.7
vs
DePaul: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+20.2% more
Xavier: 17.7
vs
DePaul: 14.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.0%
Xavier: 80.5%
vs
DePaul: 61.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+10.3% more
Xavier: 13.1
vs
DePaul: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
71.0
66
XAV Score
69.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 36.4
35.0 / 33.0
Assists
17.7 / 14.7
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.7 / 4.0
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 42.0
46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 61.5
84.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 31.2
29.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.5
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 11.8
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
XAV
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
XAV
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2%
Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
XAV
DEP
XAV
DEP
ML
58%
19-14
59%
19-13
72%
23-9
80%
24-6
ATS
73%
24-9
50%
16-16
72%
23-9
80%
24-6
TTL
39%
13-20
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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