Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Bluejays CONN @ CREI

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

20-1  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 8:00 PM ET
CHI Health Center Omaha
View Odds Details →

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

12-9  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
BLUEJAYS
100%
HUSKIES --
BLUEJAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UConn)
HuskiesCONN (-3.5) 0 BluejaysCREI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

84.1%

Bluejays Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CONN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

CONN By 1-7 points

23.0%

CONN By 8-14 points

27.2%

CREI By 1-7 points

10.7%

CREI By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
UCONN
60
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
72
UCONN
78
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bluejays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Huskies (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bluejays (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 CREI @ CONN 91 - 84
Jan 31, 2026 CONN @ CREI 85 - 58
Mar 14, 2025 CONN @ CREI 62 - 71
Feb 11, 2025 CONN @ CREI 70 - 66
Jan 18, 2025 CREI @ CONN 68 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +63.2% more
UConn: 5.7 vs Creighton: 2.1
Steals (L5) +46.1% more
UConn: 7.6 vs Creighton: 4.1
Rebounding (L5) +13.0% more
UConn: 37.2 vs Creighton: 32.4
Assists (L5) +9.3% more
UConn: 18.3 vs Creighton: 16.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CONN Score 70.0 85
CREI Score 60.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 35.9 24.0 / 52.0
Assists 16.6 / 18.3 10.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.1 / 5.7 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.0 / 44.1 41.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 76.4 / 70.4 71.0 / 43.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 37.2 24.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.1 / 7.6 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.5 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN Advantage
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
CONN
CREI
CONN
ML
52% 17-16
76% 29-9
70% 21-9
66% 23-12
ATS
58% 19-14
74% 28-10
70% 21-9
66% 23-12
TTL
52% 17-16
50% 19-19
100% 30-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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