Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Jackrabbits ORU @ SDST

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-18  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 3:00 PM ET
First Bank & Trust Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

JACKRABBITSSDST

10-12  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
JACKRABBITS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
JACKRABBITS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (South Dakota State)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 JackrabbitsSDST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

27.4%

Jackrabbits Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDST -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDST)

ORU By 1-7 points

16.9%

ORU By 8-14 points

6.8%

SDST By 1-7 points

26.8%

SDST By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
62
ORAL ROBERTS
68
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
75
ORAL ROBERTS
78
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jackrabbits Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jackrabbits Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jackrabbits (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Jackrabbits (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 SDST @ ORU 87 - 69
Jan 31, 2026 ORU @ SDST 72 - 95
Feb 27, 2025 SDST @ ORU 77 - 69
Jan 18, 2025 ORU @ SDST 70 - 84
Mar 9, 2024 ORU @ SDST 63 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +102.1% more
South Dakota State: 6.8 vs Oral Roberts: 3.3
Assists (L5) +37.4% more
South Dakota State: 14.1 vs Oral Roberts: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +8.7% more
South Dakota State: 36.5 vs Oral Roberts: 33.6
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
South Dakota State: 46.4% vs Oral Roberts: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 62.0 72
SDST Score 68.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 27.9 57.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.1 / 10.3 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.3 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 42.4 57.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 64.0 / 67.9 58.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 33.6 45.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.8 / 3.3 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 12.3 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
SDST Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
SDST
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDST
ORU
SDST
ORU
ML
75% 24-8
85% 28-5
53% 17-15
73% 24-9
ATS
78% 25-7
82% 27-6
53% 17-15
73% 24-9
TTL
53% 17-15
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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