ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
14-9 | Road
71
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
13-9 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
MASTODONS
0%
COLONIALS
--
MASTODONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Purdue Fort Wayne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PFW -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PFW)
RMU By 1-7 points
13.7%
RMU By 8-14 points
4.8%
PFW By 1-7 points
25.3%
PFW By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Robert Morris
87
ROBERT MORRIS
Purdue Fort Wayne
95
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Simulated Score
Robert Morris
71
ROBERT MORRIS
Purdue Fort Wayne
78
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mastodons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Mastodons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
RMU @ PFW
71 - 83
Jan 11, 2026
PFW @ RMU
79 - 74
Feb 15, 2025
PFW @ RMU
69 - 76
Dec 8, 2024
RMU @ PFW
77 - 82
Mar 5, 2024
RMU @ PFW
63 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+122.2% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 4.1
vs
Robert Morris: 1.9
Turnovers (L5)
+36.9% more
Robert Morris: 12.9
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 8.1
Assists (L5)
+19.5% more
Robert Morris: 19.3
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 15.5
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
Robert Morris: 38.1
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 32.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RMU Score
87.0
71
PFW Score
95.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 45.9
45.0 / 31.0
Assists
15.5 / 19.3
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.1 / 1.9
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 48.1
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
67.1 / 72.8
95.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 38.1
25.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.7
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 12.9
8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
PFW
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
PFW
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PFW
RMU
PFW
RMU
ML
59%
19-13
36%
12-21
74%
23-8
56%
18-14
ATS
62%
20-12
55%
18-15
74%
23-8
56%
18-14
TTL
59%
19-13
55%
18-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
