Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hoyas @ Bulldogs GTWN @ BUT

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

11-10  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 12:00 PM ET
Hinkle Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

BUTLER

BULLDOGSBUT

13-8  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
HOYAS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Georgetown)
HoyasGTWN (-3.5) 0 BulldogsBUT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hoyas Cover

99.5%

Bulldogs Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GTWN -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

GTWN By 1-7 points

2.7%

GTWN By 8-14 points

9.3%

BUT By 1-7 points

0.4%

BUT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
82
GEORGETOWN
56
BUTLER
Simulated Score
66
GEORGETOWN
71
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hoyas Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hoyas (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 BUT @ GTWN 93 - 89
Jan 31, 2026 GTWN @ BUT 77 - 64
Feb 15, 2025 GTWN @ BUT 86 - 97
Jan 31, 2025 BUT @ GTWN 70 - 73
Jan 23, 2024 BUT @ GTWN 90 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.4% more
Georgetown: 3.3 vs Butler: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5) +12.8%
Georgetown: 79.8% vs Butler: 67.0%
Turnovers (L5) +8.5% more
Georgetown: 10.7 vs Butler: 9.8
Steals (L5) +11.6% more
Butler: 6.4 vs Georgetown: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score 82.0 77
BUT Score 56.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.2 / 37.1 29.0 / 50.0
Assists 13.6 / 13.7 15.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.1 / 3.3 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 46.6 33.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 79.8 89.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 32.8 31.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.7 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 10.7 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
BUT Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
BUT Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
GTWN
BUT
GTWN
ML
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
65% 20-11
73% 22-8
ATS
56% 18-14
58% 19-14
65% 20-11
73% 22-8
TTL
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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