Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Tristan Jarry
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 3.00 | 0.929 | -- |
| Tristan Jarry | None-None | 8.41 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
8.41
0.929 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
OILERS
0%
WILD
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
MIN By 1 goal
12.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
MIN @ EDM
7 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
EDM @ MIN
2 - 5
Dec 2, 2025
MIN @ EDM
1 - 0
Jan 15, 2025
EDM @ MIN
5 - 3
Dec 12, 2024
EDM @ MIN
7 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.0% more
Edmonton: 32.5
vs
Minnesota: 25.8
Takeaways (L5)
+11.4% more
Edmonton: 3.9
vs
Minnesota: 3.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.2%
Edmonton: 54.1%
vs
Minnesota: 45.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.4% more
Minnesota: 14.8
vs
Edmonton: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
7
EDM Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.2 / 14.8
17.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
54.1 / 45.8
52.4 / 47.6
Hits
17.6 / 16.5
24.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
13.9 / 32.1
0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
32.5 / 25.8
42.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 3.5
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
MIN
EDM
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1