DALLAS
STARSDAL
31-14-9 | Road
3
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
28-22-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 2.00 | 0.857 | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 3.08 | 0.906 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.08
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.906
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
MAMMOTH
0%
STARS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Utah
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Utah
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
UTA @ DAL
6 - 3
Jan 31, 2026
DAL @ UTA
3 - 2
Jan 15, 2026
DAL @ UTA
1 - 2
Nov 28, 2025
UTA @ DAL
3 - 4
Apr 12, 2025
UTA @ DAL
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+17.9% more
Utah: 21.8
vs
Dallas: 18.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.1% more
Dallas: 18.4
vs
Utah: 14.1
Power Play % (L5)
+19.4%
Dallas: 26.9%
vs
Utah: 7.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+18.1% more
Dallas: 5.6
vs
Utah: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
3
UTA Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 18.4
8.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 52.5
43.1 / 56.9
Hits
21.8 / 18.5
18.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
7.5 / 26.9
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
25.6 / 25.4
14.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.6
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
DAL
UTA
DAL
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
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