TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
12-9 | Road
79
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
11-10 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
0%
SOONERS
100%
LONGHORNS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEX -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-7 points
25.3%
TEX By 8-14 points
26.2%
OU By 1-7 points
13.7%
OU By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
95
TEXAS
Oklahoma
87
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Texas
72
TEXAS
Oklahoma
75
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Longhorns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Longhorns (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
OU @ TEX
88 - 85
Jan 31, 2026
TEX @ OU
79 - 69
Mar 8, 2025
OU @ TEX
76 - 72
Jan 15, 2025
TEX @ OU
77 - 73
Mar 9, 2024
OU @ TEX
80 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+14.5% more
Texas: 5.8
vs
Oklahoma: 5.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Texas: 50.8%
vs
Oklahoma: 44.9%
Blocks (L5)
+39.4% more
Oklahoma: 3.6
vs
Texas: 2.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Oklahoma: 81.9%
vs
Texas: 79.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
95.0
79
OU Score
87.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 35.8
32.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.3 / 11.8
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.6
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 50.8
41.0 / 60.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 79.0
63.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 32.6
28.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.8
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 10.7
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
TEX
OU
TEX
ML
78%
28-8
58%
21-15
59%
20-14
56%
19-15
ATS
72%
26-10
56%
20-16
59%
20-14
56%
19-15
TTL
75%
27-9
64%
23-13
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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