Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buckeyes @ Badgers OSU @ WIS

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

14-6  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 2:00 PM ET
Kohl Center
View Odds Details →

WISCONSIN

BADGERSWIS

15-6  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKEYES
0%
📊
BADGERS
100%
BUCKEYES --
BADGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Ohio State)
BuckeyesOSU (-3.5) 0 BadgersWIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buckeyes Cover

99.9%

Badgers Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OSU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)

OSU By 1-7 points

0.6%

OSU By 8-14 points

3.3%

WIS By 1-7 points

0.1%

WIS By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
85
OHIO STATE
53
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
66
OHIO STATE
70
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buckeyes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Badgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Buckeyes (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Badgers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 WIS @ OSU 69 - 86
Jan 31, 2026 OSU @ WIS 82 - 92
Jan 14, 2025 OSU @ WIS 68 - 70
Feb 13, 2024 OSU @ WIS 54 - 62
Jan 10, 2024 WIS @ OSU 71 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.1% more
Ohio State: 6.2 vs Wisconsin: 4.1
Turnovers (L5) +10.9% more
Ohio State: 10.5 vs Wisconsin: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5) +7.0%
Ohio State: 49.3% vs Wisconsin: 42.3%
Assists (L5) +16.8% more
Wisconsin: 14.6 vs Ohio State: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OSU Score 85.0 82
WIS Score 53.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.9 / 32.9 35.0 / 34.0
Assists 14.6 / 12.5 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.4 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.3 / 49.3 52.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 76.8 / 74.9 90.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 30.1 35.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.1 / 6.2 3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 10.5 5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OSU
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
WIS Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OSU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
WIS Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
OSU
WIS
OSU
ML
60% 21-14
53% 18-16
69% 24-11
73% 24-9
ATS
51% 18-17
59% 20-14
69% 24-11
73% 24-9
TTL
57% 20-15
56% 19-15
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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