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IDAHO STATE

BENGALSIDST

10-11  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 3:00 PM ET
Dee Events Center
View Odds Details →

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

10-11  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
BENGALS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Weber State)
BengalsIDST (-3.5) 0 WildcatsWEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

0.0%

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WEB -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)

IDST By 1-7 points

0.0%

IDST By 8-14 points

0.0%

WEB By 1-7 points

0.4%

WEB By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
44
IDAHO STATE
78
WEBER STATE
Simulated Score
63
IDAHO STATE
78
WEBER STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 WEB @ IDST 83 - 73
Jan 31, 2026 IDST @ WEB 79 - 81
Feb 8, 2025 IDST @ WEB 72 - 67
Jan 11, 2025 WEB @ IDST 77 - 69
Feb 24, 2024 WEB @ IDST 62 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +72.4% more
Weber State: 7.8 vs Idaho State: 4.5
Assists (L5) +29.5% more
Weber State: 12.5 vs Idaho State: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
Weber State: 41.2% vs Idaho State: 30.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Weber State: 46.4% vs Idaho State: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDST Score 44.0 79
WEB Score 78.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.2 / 30.8 45.0 / 41.0
Assists 12.5 / 9.7 11.0 / 16.0
Blocks 1.5 / 3.2 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 41.2 47.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 72.0 80.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 29.6 / 33.6 33.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.8 / 4.5 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.7 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDST
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
WEB Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDST
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
WEB Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.4
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WEB
IDST
WEB
IDST
ML
73% 22-8
59% 19-13
73% 22-8
72% 23-9
ATS
63% 19-11
50% 16-16
74% 23-8
72% 23-9
TTL
83% 25-5
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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