Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Jazz BKN @ UTAH

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

12-34  |  Road

109
FINAL
Fri, Jan 30 • 9:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

15-33  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
NETS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Brooklyn)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

72.6%

Jazz Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

BKN By 1-7 points

26.8%

BKN By 8-14 points

24.3%

UTAH By 1-7 points

16.9%

UTAH By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
120
BROOKLYN
114
UTAH
Simulated Score
110
BROOKLYN
125
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nets (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o225.5 Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u225.5 Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 BKN @ UTAH 109 - 99
Dec 4, 2025 UTAH @ BKN 123 - 110
Jan 12, 2025 BKN @ UTAH 111 - 112
Dec 21, 2024 UTAH @ BKN 105 - 94
Jan 29, 2024 UTAH @ BKN 114 - 147
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.1% more
Utah: 10.1 vs Brooklyn: 7.1
Assists (L5) +36.1% more
Utah: 33.4 vs Brooklyn: 24.5
Turnovers (L5) +16.3% more
Utah: 17.0 vs Brooklyn: 14.6
Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Utah: 48.0% vs Brooklyn: 43.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 120.0 109
UTAH Score 114.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 34.9 34.0 / 35.0
Assists 33.4 / 24.5 26.0 / 27.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.4 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 43.5 50.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 82.2 / 79.4 58.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 41.9 33.0 / 47.0
Steals 10.1 / 7.1 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 14.6 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
UTAH Advantage
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
BKN
UTAH
BKN
ML
60% 96-63
53% 50-45
48% 40-43
59% 48-34
ATS
68% 108-51
52% 48-44-3
48% 40-43
59% 48-34
TTL
75% 119-39-1
57% 54-41
100% 83-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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