LA
CLIPPERSLAC
22-24 | Road
109
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
32-16 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
NUGGETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
LAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
DEN By 1-7 points
27.2%
DEN By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
110
LA
Denver
115
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Denver
115
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o219.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u219.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.6% more
Denver: 5.4
vs
LA: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+37.6% more
LA: 9.9
vs
Denver: 6.2
Turnovers (L5)
+27.5% more
LA: 13.6
vs
Denver: 9.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
LA: 83.1%
vs
Denver: 77.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
110.0
109
DEN Score
115.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 38.9
57.0 / 35.0
Assists
24.0 / 23.7
30.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 49.3
55.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 83.1
81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
42.8 / 43.5
43.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.2 / 9.9
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 13.6
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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